THS LIVE | September CPI Popped Up To 3.7%: The Fed Is Trapped & Stocks Are Falling Now
September CPI just printed 3.7% — hotter than economists expected — and the market is already bleeding. Gas prices are the ignition switch, but the real story is what happens next: the Fed is now caught between an economy that's too hot to cut and too fragile to hike, with JPMorgan's own strategist going on record saying raising rates right now would be "stupid." Meanwhile, rate-sensitive stocks are getting destroyed in premarket — the 10 names falling hardest are telling you exactly where the pain is spreading — and global diesel prices aren't helping, with the IEA warning of another supply squeeze through 2027. Here's what nobody's saying out loud: the speculators have been net short the S&P for months (25th percentile, not a bullish picture), yet Nasdaq longs just hit the 99th percentile of the last 3 years — someone is making a massive bet that tech survives inflation.
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🔗 Resources:
Consumer prices rose 3.7% annually in September as gas prices skyrocket (CNBC Top News)
Fed Would Be 'Stupid' to Raise Rates Now, JPMorgan's Kelly Says (Bloomberg Economics)
Hot Inflation Hits Rate-Sensitive Stocks: These 10 Names Are Falling (Benzinga News)
US stocks slip after inflation worsens by more than economists expected (AP)
Global diesel prices set to rise again, warns IEA (FT Markets)
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